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What does Inter need to go through in the Champions League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 3, Inter are 20th with 3 points. Next match: 3 November, away against Feyenoord. In our simulations Inter go through (24th place or better) in 89% of cases and make the top 8 in 11%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Stuttgart (matchday 5) and Feyenoord (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 23 percentage points.

20thleague position
3points from 3 matches
89%chance of going through (top 24)
11%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 13th, average 16.1.

Inter matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Tuesday 8 September, 21:00
    AwayReal Madrid1–2
    Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 56%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
    HomeClub Brugge3–4
    Win 62%, draw 22%, defeat 16%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
    Win 73%, draw 17%, defeat 10%
    Chance of going through:Played
  4. Matchday 4Tuesday 3 November, 21:00
    AwayFeyenoord –
    Win 53%, draw 24%, defeat 23%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw86%If they lose74%
  5. Matchday 5Wednesday 25 November, 21:00
    HomeStuttgart –
    Win 58%, draw 23%, defeat 19%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw83%If they lose73%
  6. Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 21:00
    Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 35%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw88%If they lose80%
  7. Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
    HomeLiverpool –
    Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 39%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw89%If they lose81%
  8. Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
    Win 75%, draw 16%, defeat 9%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw79%If they lose66%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Inter collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
40%
50%
60%
73%
826%
981%
1099%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17unlikely
18100%
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Inter finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Champions League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
  2. 2Aston Villa9100%
  3. 3Liverpool9100%
  4. 4Real Madrid9100%
  5. 5Real Betis999%
  6. 6Stuttgart797%
  7. 7Arsenal7100%
  8. 8Barcelona6>99%
  9. 9Como691%
  10. 10Manchester City699%
  11. 11Club Brugge687%
  12. 12Sporting CP690%
  13. 13Borussia Dortmund695%
  14. 14Bayern München5>99%
  15. 15Roma477%
  16. 16Atlético de Madrid496%
  17. 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
  18. 18PSV Eindhoven477%
  19. 19Villarreal382%
  20. 20Inter389%
  21. 21Manchester United360%
  22. 22Napoli389%
  23. 23Galatasaray355%
  24. 24LASK331%
  25. 25Sabah34%
  26. 26Feyenoord357%
  27. 27Lens338%
  28. 28Bodø/Glimt359%
  29. 29AEK Athens319%
  30. 30Leipzig364%
  31. 31Fenerbahçe230%
  32. 32Slavia Praha14%
  33. 33Viking19%
  34. 34Porto027%
  35. 35Lille014%
  36. 36Slovan Bratislava03%

How the league phase works

The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Inter's chances of going through in the Champions League?

Across 30,000 simulations Inter go through (24th place or better) in 89% of cases and reach the top 8 in 11%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Inter need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Inter's next match?

3 November, away against Feyenoord on matchday 4 of the Champions League.

Which match matters most for Inter?

The matchday 8 game away against Slovan Bratislava. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 28 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.