Como vs Paris Saint-Germain: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Wednesday 20 January, 21:00
Como5th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Paris Saint-Germain1st, 3 pts
16%Como win
21%Draw
63%Paris Saint-Germain win
The model gives Como a 16% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Paris Saint-Germain 63%. Como's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 72%. Paris Saint-Germain's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Como: top 8 | Como: through | Paris Saint-Germain: top 8 | Paris Saint-Germain: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 10% | 78% | 74% | 99% |
| Como win | 27% | 95% | 50% | 98% |
| Draw | 12% | 82% | 64% | 99% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 6% | 72% | 83% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven