Inter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Wednesday 21 October, 21:00
Inter beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 at home on matchday 3. After the match, Inter are 20th with 3 points, with a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 11%). Shakhtar Donetsk are now 17th with 4 points, with a 62% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 3.
The outcome the model rated most likely (72%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Inter 2.3, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.7.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 3 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 29th → 20th | 83% → 89% | 9% → 11% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 11th → 17th | 66% → 62% | 3% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Inter
- MD1LReal Madrid A1–2
- MD2LClub Brugge H3–4
- MD3WShakhtar Donetsk H this match1–0
- MD4Feyenoord A3 November
- MD5Stuttgart H25 November
- MD6Borussia Dortmund A9 December
- MD7Liverpool H19 January
- MD8Slovan Bratislava A27 January
Shakhtar Donetsk
- MD1DPSV Eindhoven A1–1
- MD2WAEK Athens H3–1
- MD3LInter A this match0–1
- MD4Sporting CP H3 November
- MD5Fenerbahçe H25 November
- MD6Slovan Bratislava A9 December
- MD7Leipzig A20 January
- MD8Real Madrid H27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The match finished 1–0 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Was Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Inter a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Shakhtar Donetsk 11%. The outcome the model rated most likely (72%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change Inter's chances?
Before matchday 3, Inter had a 83% chance of going through (top 8: 9%). Now it is 89% (top 8: 11%).
How did the result change Shakhtar Donetsk's chances?
Before matchday 3, Shakhtar Donetsk had a 66% chance of going through (top 8: 3%). Now it is 62% (top 8: 2%).
When was Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
Wednesday 21 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha (2–2)
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund (1–2)
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava (4–0)
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven (0–1)
- Liverpool – Villarreal (4–3)
- Manchester City – AEK Athens (5–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Barcelona (4–2)
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt (4–3)
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid (1–1)
- Como – Manchester United (4–1)
- Lille – Galatasaray (2–4)
- Aston Villa – Viking (3–1)
- Club Brugge – Lens (3–0)
- Bayern München – Arsenal (2–2)
- Real Madrid – Leipzig (4–1)
- Real Betis – Feyenoord (1–0)
- Sporting CP – LASK (2–3)