Real Madrid 2–1 Inter
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Tuesday 8 September, 21:00
Real Madrid beat Inter 2–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Real Madrid are 4th with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 96%). Inter are now 20th with 3 points, with a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 11%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (51%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: Real Madrid 1.6, Inter 1.0.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 99% → 100% | 71% → 96% |
| Inter | 96% → 89% | 50% → 11% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Real Madrid
- MD1WInter H this match2–1
- MD2WRoma A4–3
- MD3WLeipzig H4–1
- MD4AEK Athens A4 November
- MD5PSV Eindhoven H24 November
- MD6Arsenal A9 December
- MD7LASK H19 January
- MD8Shakhtar Donetsk A27 January
Inter
- MD1LReal Madrid A this match1–2
- MD2LClub Brugge H3–4
- MD3WShakhtar Donetsk H1–0
- MD4Feyenoord A3 November
- MD5Stuttgart H25 November
- MD6Borussia Dortmund A9 December
- MD7Liverpool H19 January
- MD8Slovan Bratislava A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Inter?
The match finished 2–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Real Madrid vs Inter Milan a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Real Madrid a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Inter 24%. The outcome the model rated most likely (51%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change Real Madrid's chances?
Before matchday 1, Real Madrid had a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 71%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 96%).
How did the result change Inter's chances?
Before matchday 1, Inter had a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 50%). Now it is 89% (top 8: 11%).
When was Real Madrid vs Inter played?
Tuesday 8 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Como – Leipzig (4–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)