Galatasaray vs Feyenoord: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Tuesday 19 January, 18:45
The model gives Galatasaray a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Feyenoord 26%. Galatasaray's chance of going through is 55% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 29%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 57% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 42%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | Galatasaray: top 8 | Galatasaray: through | Feyenoord: top 8 | Feyenoord: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 55% | 2% | 57% |
| Galatasaray win | 2% | 75% | <1% | 42% |
| Draw | <1% | 45% | 1% | 58% |
| Feyenoord win | <1% | 29% | 5% | 82% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Galatasaray
- MD1LSporting CP A1–3
- MD2LBarcelona H1–4
- MD3WLille A4–2
- MD4Stuttgart H3 November
- MD5Aston Villa H24 November
- MD6AEK Athens A8 December
- MD7Feyenoord H this match19 January
- MD8Paris Saint-Germain A27 January
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Galatasaray vs Feyenoord?
The model gives Galatasaray a 48% chance of winning and Feyenoord 26%, with a draw at 25%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Feyenoord?
The model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. Expected goals are 1.5 for Galatasaray and 1.1 for Feyenoord, and the match has 3 or more goals in 49% of cases.
What does this match mean for Galatasaray?
Galatasaray's qualification chance is 55% right now. A win would make it 75%, a draw 45% and a defeat 29%.
What does this match mean for Feyenoord?
Feyenoord's qualification chance is 57% right now. A win would make it 82%, a draw 58% and a defeat 42%.
When is Galatasaray vs Feyenoord played?
Tuesday 19 January, 18:45 (Champions League, matchday 7).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven