Knockout Math
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Slovan Bratislava vs Inter: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00

–Matchday 8
Inter26th, 0 pts
9%Slovan Bratislava win
16%Draw
75%Inter win

The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 9% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Inter 75%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 8%. Inter's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 84%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Slovan Bratislava: top 8Slovan Bratislava: throughInter: top 8Inter: through
Now<1%11%36%95%
Slovan Bratislava win1%33%12%84%
Draw<1%14%19%90%
Inter win<1%8%43%97%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

Other matchday 8 fixtures