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Slovan Bratislava vs Inter: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00

Slovan Bratislava36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Inter20th, 3 pts
9%Slovan Bratislava win
16%Draw
75%Inter win

The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 9% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Inter 75%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 3% now: a win would take it to 14%, a defeat to 1%. Inter's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 66%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

OutcomeSlovan Bratislava: top 8Slovan Bratislava: throughInter: top 8Inter: through
Now0%3%11%89%
Slovan Bratislava win0%14%1%66%
Draw0%3%3%79%
Inter win0%1%14%94%

Goals

From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.

0.7 – 2.4Expected goals
45%Both teams score
60%3 or more goals
9%Slovan Bratislava clean sheet
50%Inter clean sheet

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Slovan Bratislava

0 points from 3 matches, goal difference -12

  1. MD1LParis Saint-Germain A1–6
  2. MD2LStuttgart H0–3
  3. MD3LRoma A0–4
  4. MD4LASK A3 November
  5. MD5Real Betis H24 November
  6. MD6Shakhtar Donetsk H9 December
  7. MD7Lille A19 January
  8. MD8Inter H this match27 January

Inter

3 points from 3 matches, goal difference -1

  1. MD1LReal Madrid A1–2
  2. MD2LClub Brugge H3–4
  3. MD3WShakhtar Donetsk H1–0
  4. MD4Feyenoord A3 November
  5. MD5Stuttgart H25 November
  6. MD6Borussia Dortmund A9 December
  7. MD7Liverpool H19 January
  8. MD8Slovan Bratislava A this match27 January

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite in Slovan Bratislava vs Inter Milan?

The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 9% chance of winning and Inter 75%, with a draw at 16%.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely exact score is 0–2 (13%), followed by 0–1 (11%).

Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava vs Inter Milan?

The model gives both teams scoring a 45% chance. Expected goals are 0.7 for Slovan Bratislava and 2.4 for Inter, and the match has 3 or more goals in 60% of cases.

What does this match mean for Slovan Bratislava?

Slovan Bratislava's qualification chance is 3% right now. A win would make it 14%, a draw 3% and a defeat 1%.

What does this match mean for Inter?

Inter's qualification chance is 89% right now. A win would make it 94%, a draw 79% and a defeat 66%.

When is Slovan Bratislava vs Inter played?

Wednesday 27 January, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 8).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 8 fixtures

Full matchday 8: what every team needs →