Real Madrid vs LASK: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 7 · Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
Real Madrid13th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
LASK27th, 0 pts
88%Real Madrid win
8%Draw
3%LASK win
The model gives Real Madrid a 88% chance of winning, a draw 8% and LASK 3%. Real Madrid's top-8 chance is 81% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 50%. LASK's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 36%, a defeat to 10%. The most likely score is 3–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Real Madrid: top 8 | Real Madrid: through | LASK: top 8 | LASK: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 81% | >99% | <1% | 11% |
| Real Madrid win | 83% | >99% | <1% | 10% |
| Draw | 62% | 99% | <1% | 17% |
| LASK win | 50% | 97% | 1% | 36% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
3–013%
2–012%
4–011%
1–08%
5–07%
3–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven