Sabah vs Napoli: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 7 · Wednesday 20 January, 18:45
Sabah34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Napoli28th, 0 pts
9%Sabah win
16%Draw
75%Napoli win
The model gives Sabah a 9% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Napoli 75%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 9%, a defeat to 1%. Napoli's chance of going through is 90% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 71%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sabah: top 8 | Sabah: through | Napoli: top 8 | Napoli: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2% | 21% | 90% |
| Sabah win | <1% | 9% | 5% | 71% |
| Draw | 0% | 2% | 9% | 81% |
| Napoli win | 0% | 1% | 26% | 94% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven