Lille vs Slovan Bratislava: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 7 · Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
Lille24th, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Slovan Bratislava35th, 0 pts
69%Lille win
19%Draw
12%Slovan Bratislava win
The model gives Lille a 69% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Slovan Bratislava 12%. Lille's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 55%, a defeat to 21%. Slovan Bratislava's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 31%, a defeat to 8%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lille: top 8 | Lille: through | Slovan Bratislava: top 8 | Slovan Bratislava: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 47% | <1% | 11% |
| Lille win | 2% | 55% | <1% | 8% |
| Draw | 1% | 31% | <1% | 13% |
| Slovan Bratislava win | <1% | 21% | 1% | 31% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven