Liverpool vs Lens: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Liverpool14th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Lens10th, 3 pts
72%Liverpool win
17%Draw
11%Lens win
The model gives Liverpool a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Lens 11%. Liverpool's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 51%. Lens's chance of going through is 76% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 72%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Liverpool: top 8 | Liverpool: through | Lens: top 8 | Lens: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 77% | >99% | 10% | 76% |
| Liverpool win | 84% | >99% | 6% | 72% |
| Draw | 63% | 99% | 13% | 82% |
| Lens win | 51% | 98% | 27% | 94% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter