Como vs AEK Athens: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 5 · Tuesday 24 November, 21:00
Como5th, 3 pts
–Matchday 5
AEK Athens16th, 3 pts
58%Como win
23%Draw
19%AEK Athens win
The model gives Como a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and AEK Athens 19%. Como's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 55%. AEK Athens's chance of going through is 42% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 32%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Como: top 8 | Como: through | AEK Athens: top 8 | AEK Athens: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 10% | 78% | 2% | 42% |
| Como win | 15% | 88% | 1% | 32% |
| Draw | 5% | 68% | 1% | 44% |
| AEK Athens win | 2% | 55% | 5% | 71% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – LASK
- Galatasaray – Aston Villa
- Arsenal – Borussia Dortmund
- Feyenoord – Porto
- Manchester City – Napoli
- Leipzig – Lens
- Real Madrid – PSV Eindhoven
- Slovan Bratislava – Real Betis
- Sabah – Barcelona
- Slavia Praha – Villarreal
- Atlético de Madrid – Viking
- Club Brugge – Liverpool
- Inter – Stuttgart
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Fenerbahçe
- Lille – Bayern München
- Paris Saint-Germain – Roma
- Sporting CP – Manchester United