Knockout Math
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Bodø/Glimt vs LASK: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 5 · Tuesday 24 November, 18:45

Bodø/Glimt36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 5
LASK27th, 0 pts
61%Bodø/Glimt win
22%Draw
17%LASK win

The model gives Bodø/Glimt a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and LASK 17%. Bodø/Glimt's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 52%, a defeat to 19%. LASK's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 30%, a defeat to 6%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Bodø/Glimt: top 8Bodø/Glimt: throughLASK: top 8LASK: through
Now2%41%<1%11%
Bodø/Glimt win3%52%<1%6%
Draw<1%28%<1%12%
LASK win<1%19%<1%30%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

Other matchday 5 fixtures