Sunderland vs Levski Sofia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Sunderland16th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Levski Sofia27th, 0 pts
63%Sunderland win
21%Draw
16%Levski Sofia win
The model gives Sunderland a 63% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Levski Sofia 16%. Sunderland's chance of going through is 93% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. Levski Sofia's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 44%, a defeat to 14%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sunderland: top 8 | Sunderland: through | Levski Sofia: top 8 | Levski Sofia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 93% | 1% | 21% |
| Sunderland win | 52% | 97% | <1% | 14% |
| Draw | 30% | 90% | <1% | 22% |
| Levski Sofia win | 19% | 82% | 3% | 44% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros