Celta vs Lillestrøm: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Celta26th, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Lillestrøm24th, 0 pts
67%Celta win
20%Draw
14%Lillestrøm win
The model gives Celta a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Lillestrøm 14%. Celta's chance of going through is 64% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 38%. Lillestrøm's chance of going through is 15% now: a win would take it to 37%, a defeat to 10%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celta: top 8 | Celta: through | Lillestrøm: top 8 | Lillestrøm: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 64% | <1% | 15% |
| Celta win | 12% | 73% | <1% | 10% |
| Draw | 4% | 52% | <1% | 17% |
| Lillestrøm win | 2% | 38% | 2% | 37% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros