Viktoria Plzeň vs Jagiellonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 8
Jagiellonia21st, 0 pts
53%Viktoria Plzeň win
24%Draw
23%Jagiellonia win
The model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Jagiellonia 23%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 27%. Jagiellonia's chance of going through is 41% now: a win would take it to 66%, a defeat to 29%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | Jagiellonia: top 8 | Jagiellonia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% | 3% | 41% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 7% | 63% | 1% | 29% |
| Draw | 2% | 39% | 2% | 41% |
| Jagiellonia win | 1% | 27% | 8% | 66% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
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- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros