Sparta Praha vs Rennes: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Sparta Praha3rd, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Rennes17th, 1 pts
38%Sparta Praha win
26%Draw
35%Rennes win
The model gives Sparta Praha a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Rennes 35%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 71%. Rennes's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 73%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 83% | 23% | 83% |
| Sparta Praha win | 37% | 95% | 11% | 73% |
| Draw | 18% | 82% | 19% | 83% |
| Rennes win | 11% | 71% | 39% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros