Levski Sofia 0–1 Salzburg
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Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
Salzburg won 1–0 away at Levski Sofia on matchday 1. After the match, Levski Sofia are 25th with 1 point, with a 24% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Salzburg are now 21st with 3 points, with a 84% chance of going through (top 8: 12%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (48%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Levski Sofia 1.1, Salzburg 1.5.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 31% → 24% | 2% → <1% |
| Salzburg | 78% → 84% | 21% → 12% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Levski Sofia
- MD1LSalzburg H this match0–1
- MD2DN.E.C. Nijmegen A1–1
- MD3Viktoria Plzeň A22 October
- MD4Jagiellonia H5 November
- MD5Marseille A26 November
- MD6Lillestrøm H10 December
- MD7Milan H21 January
- MD8Sunderland A28 January
Salzburg
- MD1WLevski Sofia A this match1–0
- MD2LMilan H0–4
- MD3Celje A22 October
- MD4Anderlecht A5 November
- MD5Ararat-Armenia H26 November
- MD6Sparta Praha H10 December
- MD7Leverkusen A21 January
- MD8Crystal Palace H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Levski Sofia vs Salzburg?
The match finished 0–1 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Levski Sofia a 27% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Salzburg 48%. The outcome the model rated most likely (48%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change Levski Sofia's chances?
Before matchday 1, Levski Sofia had a 31% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 24% (top 8: <1%).
How did the result change Salzburg's chances?
Before matchday 1, Salzburg had a 78% chance of going through (top 8: 21%). Now it is 84% (top 8: 12%).
When was Levski Sofia vs Salzburg played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)