Sunderland 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
Sunderland beat AZ Alkmaar 1–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Sunderland are 9th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 55%). AZ Alkmaar are now 20th with 3 points, with a 86% chance of going through (top 8: 13%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (41%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: Sunderland 1.4, AZ Alkmaar 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 84% → 99% | 29% → 55% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 83% → 86% | 27% → 13% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Sunderland
- MD1WAZ Alkmaar H this match1–0
- MD2WTorreense A2–1
- MD3Lech Poznań A22 October
- MD4GNK Dinamo H5 November
- MD5Jagiellonia H26 November
- MD6Milan A10 December
- MD7Anderlecht A21 January
- MD8Levski Sofia H28 January
AZ Alkmaar
- MD1LSunderland A this match0–1
- MD2WHapoel Beer-Sheva H2–1
- MD3Ararat-Armenia A22 October
- MD4Juventus H5 November
- MD5Sparta Praha A26 November
- MD6Sturm Graz H10 December
- MD7GNK Dinamo H21 January
- MD8Benfica A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
The match finished 1–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Sunderland a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and AZ Alkmaar 33%. The outcome the model rated most likely (41%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change Sunderland's chances?
Before matchday 1, Sunderland had a 84% chance of going through (top 8: 29%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 55%).
How did the result change AZ Alkmaar's chances?
Before matchday 1, AZ Alkmaar had a 83% chance of going through (top 8: 27%). Now it is 86% (top 8: 13%).
When was Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar played?
Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)