Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
Viktoria Plzeň34th, 0 pts
–Matchday 3
Levski Sofia27th, 0 pts
57%Viktoria Plzeň win
23%Draw
20%Levski Sofia win
The model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 57% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Levski Sofia 20%. Viktoria Plzeň's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 62%, a defeat to 26%. Levski Sofia's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 43%, a defeat to 13%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Viktoria Plzeň: top 8 | Viktoria Plzeň: through | Levski Sofia: top 8 | Levski Sofia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% | 1% | 21% |
| Viktoria Plzeň win | 7% | 62% | <1% | 13% |
| Draw | 2% | 38% | <1% | 21% |
| Levski Sofia win | 1% | 26% | 3% | 43% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
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- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
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- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
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- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
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- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon