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Europa League matchday 8: what every team needs

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Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Europa League matchday 8 is played on 28 January across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for OFI Crete: a win would lift their chances of going through to 76%, a defeat would drop them to 35%.

Matchday 8 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Benfica – AZ Alkmaar 60% · 22% · 17%
  2. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva 68% · 19% · 13%
  3. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen 35% · 26% · 39%
  4. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Celta – Lillestrøm 67% · 20% · 14%
  5. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz 45% · 26% · 29%
  6. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Hoffenheim – Ferencváros 51% · 25% · 24%
  7. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Juventus – Real Sociedad 62% · 22% · 16%
  8. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Lyon – Leverkusen 34% · 26% · 40%
  9. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Marseille – Anderlecht 60% · 22% · 18%
  10. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Milan – Ararat-Armenia 86% · 10% · 4%
  11. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 OFI Crete – Lech Poznań 41% · 26% · 33%
  12. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Omonia – Beşiktaş 27% · 26% · 47%
  13. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Salzburg – Crystal Palace 35% · 26% · 38%
  14. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Sparta Praha – Rennes 40% · 26% · 34%
  15. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Sunderland – Levski Sofia 65% · 21% · 15%
  16. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Torreense – Olympiacos 22% · 24% · 54%
  17. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Union SG – Celtic 53% · 24% · 23%
  18. Thu 28 Jan, 21:00 Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia 51% · 25% · 24%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
OFI CreteOFI Crete – Lech Poznań56%76%35%
OmoniaOmonia – Beşiktaş49%74%35%
Sturm GrazGNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz53%76%39%
JagielloniaViktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia41%66%30%
GNK DinamoGNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz55%71%35%

Frequently asked questions

When is Europa League matchday 8 played?

On 28 January, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 8?

OFI Crete. A win lifts their chances of going through to 76%, a defeat drops them to 35% — a swing of about 40 percentage points.

What does the table look like before matchday 8?

Juventus lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Europa League page.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 15 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays