Lyon vs Leverkusen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Lyon10th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Leverkusen8th, 3 pts
33%Lyon win
26%Draw
41%Leverkusen win
The model gives Lyon a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Leverkusen 41%. Lyon's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. Leverkusen's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lyon: top 8 | Lyon: through | Leverkusen: top 8 | Leverkusen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 44% | 94% | 75% | 99% |
| Lyon win | 64% | 99% | 61% | 98% |
| Draw | 41% | 94% | 72% | 99% |
| Leverkusen win | 30% | 90% | 88% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros