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What does Levski Sofia need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, Levski Sofia are 25th with 1 point. Next match: 22 October, away against Viktoria Plzeň. In our simulations Levski Sofia go through (24th place or better) in 24% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Jagiellonia (matchday 4) and Lillestrøm (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 31 percentage points.

25thleague position
1points from 2 matches
24%chance of going through (top 24)
<1%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 33rd, average 28.2.

Levski Sofia matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00
    HomeSalzburg0–1
    Win 27%, draw 26%, defeat 47%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00
    Win 22%, draw 24%, defeat 55%
    Chance of going through:If they win50%If they draw25%If they lose14%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeJagiellonia –
    Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%
    Chance of going through:If they win42%If they draw18%If they lose10%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45
    AwayMarseille –
    Win 11%, draw 18%, defeat 70%
    Chance of going through:If they win58%If they draw31%If they lose17%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    HomeLillestrøm –
    Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%
    Chance of going through:If they win38%If they draw17%If they lose9%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00
    HomeMilan –
    Win 13%, draw 19%, defeat 68%
    Chance of going through:If they win54%If they draw30%If they lose17%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwaySunderland –
    Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 65%
    Chance of going through:If they win53%If they draw29%If they lose17%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Levski Sofia collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
71%
817%
975%
1097%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17unlikely
18unlikely
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Levski Sofia finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Levski Sofia's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations Levski Sofia go through (24th place or better) in 24% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Levski Sofia need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Levski Sofia's next match?

22 October, away against Viktoria Plzeň on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for Levski Sofia?

The matchday 5 game away against Marseille. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 41 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.