Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer-Sheva: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Bournemouth12th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Hapoel Beer-Sheva18th, 1 pts
67%Bournemouth win
20%Draw
14%Hapoel Beer-Sheva win
The model gives Bournemouth a 67% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Hapoel Beer-Sheva 14%. Bournemouth's chance of going through is 97% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 55%, a defeat to 21%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Bournemouth: top 8 | Bournemouth: through | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 57% | 97% | 1% | 27% |
| Bournemouth win | 67% | 99% | 1% | 21% |
| Draw | 43% | 95% | 1% | 31% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 31% | 90% | 5% | 55% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Salzburg – Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros