Salzburg vs Crystal Palace: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Thursday 28 January, 21:00
Salzburg14th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Crystal Palace2nd, 3 pts
36%Salzburg win
26%Draw
38%Crystal Palace win
The model gives Salzburg a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Crystal Palace 38%. Salzburg's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 80%. Crystal Palace's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Salzburg: top 8 | Salzburg: through | Crystal Palace: top 8 | Crystal Palace: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 29% | 88% | 45% | 94% |
| Salzburg win | 47% | 97% | 29% | 88% |
| Draw | 24% | 88% | 41% | 94% |
| Crystal Palace win | 15% | 80% | 63% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Milan – Ararat-Armenia
- Sparta Praha – Rennes
- Bournemouth – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Viktoria Plzeň – Jagiellonia
- GNK Dinamo – Sturm Graz
- Juventus – Real Sociedad
- Celje – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- OFI Crete – Lech Poznań
- Marseille – Anderlecht
- Lyon – Leverkusen
- Omonia – Beşiktaş
- Union SG – Celtic
- Celta – Lillestrøm
- Torreense – Olympiacos
- Benfica – AZ Alkmaar
- Sunderland – Levski Sofia
- Hoffenheim – Ferencváros