Sunderland vs GNK Dinamo: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
Sunderland16th, 3 pts
–Matchday 4
GNK Dinamo19th, 1 pts
51%Sunderland win
25%Draw
24%GNK Dinamo win
The model gives Sunderland a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and GNK Dinamo 24%. Sunderland's chance of going through is 93% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. GNK Dinamo's chance of going through is 54% now: a win would take it to 77%, a defeat to 42%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sunderland: top 8 | Sunderland: through | GNK Dinamo: top 8 | GNK Dinamo: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 93% | 6% | 54% |
| Sunderland win | 56% | 98% | 2% | 42% |
| Draw | 32% | 92% | 4% | 55% |
| GNK Dinamo win | 22% | 85% | 15% | 77% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
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- Real Sociedad – Lyon
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- Rennes – Olympiacos
- AZ Alkmaar – Juventus
- Leverkusen – Marseille
- Celtic – Beşiktaş
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete
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- Sturm Graz – Celje
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