Sturm Graz 0–0 Rennes
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Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
Sturm Graz and Rennes drew 0–0 on matchday 1. After the match, Sturm Graz are 26th with 1 point, with a 46% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Rennes are now 13th with 4 points, with a 91% chance of going through (top 8: 21%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 8% chance. Expected goals before the match: Sturm Graz 1.2, Rennes 1.4.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 55% → 46% | 8% → 1% |
| Rennes | 85% → 91% | 29% → 21% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Sturm Graz
- MD1DRennes H this match0–0
- MD2LBournemouth A0–3
- MD3Marseille H22 October
- MD4Celje H5 November
- MD5Hoffenheim A26 November
- MD6AZ Alkmaar A10 December
- MD7OFI Crete H21 January
- MD8GNK Dinamo A28 January
Rennes
- MD1DSturm Graz A this match0–0
- MD2WOFI Crete H2–1
- MD3Juventus A22 October
- MD4Olympiacos H5 November
- MD5N.E.C. Nijmegen A26 November
- MD6GNK Dinamo H10 December
- MD7Omonia H21 January
- MD8Sparta Praha A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
The match finished 0–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Sturm Graz vs Rennes a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Sturm Graz a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Rennes 41%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 8% chance.
How did the result change Sturm Graz's chances?
Before matchday 1, Sturm Graz had a 55% chance of going through (top 8: 8%). Now it is 46% (top 8: 1%).
How did the result change Rennes's chances?
Before matchday 1, Rennes had a 85% chance of going through (top 8: 29%). Now it is 91% (top 8: 21%).
When was Sturm Graz vs Rennes played?
Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)