OFI Crete 2–0 Hoffenheim
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Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
OFI Crete beat Hoffenheim 2–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, OFI Crete are 18th with 3 points, with a 52% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Hoffenheim are now 30th with 0 points, with a 47% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
An upset: the model gave this result only 22%. The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance. Expected goals before the match: OFI Crete 1.0, Hoffenheim 1.7.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete | 26% → 52% | 1% → 2% |
| Hoffenheim | 85% → 47% | 31% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
OFI Crete
- MD1WHoffenheim H this match2–0
- MD2LRennes A1–2
- MD3Leverkusen H22 October
- MD4Hapoel Beer-Sheva A5 November
- MD5Anderlecht H26 November
- MD6Benfica A10 December
- MD7Sturm Graz A21 January
- MD8Lech Poznań H28 January
Hoffenheim
- MD1LOFI Crete A this match0–2
- MD2LBeşiktaş H2–3
- MD3Lyon H22 October
- MD4Crystal Palace A5 November
- MD5Sturm Graz H26 November
- MD6Anderlecht A10 December
- MD7Olympiacos A21 January
- MD8Ferencváros H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of OFI Crete vs Hoffenheim?
The match finished 2–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was OFI Crete vs Hoffenheim a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave OFI Crete a 22% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Hoffenheim 53%. An upset: the model gave this result only 22%. The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance.
How did the result change OFI Crete's chances?
Before matchday 1, OFI Crete had a 26% chance of going through (top 8: 1%). Now it is 52% (top 8: 2%).
How did the result change Hoffenheim's chances?
Before matchday 1, Hoffenheim had a 85% chance of going through (top 8: 31%). Now it is 47% (top 8: 2%).
When was OFI Crete vs Hoffenheim played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)