Benfica vs OFI Crete: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Benfica7th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
77%Benfica win
15%Draw
8%OFI Crete win
The model gives Benfica a 77% chance of winning, a draw 15% and OFI Crete 8%. Benfica's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 44%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Benfica: top 8 | Benfica: through | OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 82% | 99% | 4% | 49% |
| Benfica win | 86% | >99% | 3% | 44% |
| Draw | 70% | 99% | 5% | 58% |
| OFI Crete win | 58% | 97% | 15% | 79% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense