Rennes vs OFI Crete: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Rennes17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 2
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
65%Rennes win
20%Draw
14%OFI Crete win
The model gives Rennes a 65% chance of winning, a draw 20% and OFI Crete 14%. Rennes's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 64%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 78%, a defeat to 41%. The most likely score is 2–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 83% | 4% | 49% |
| Rennes win | 29% | 90% | 2% | 41% |
| Draw | 12% | 74% | 4% | 56% |
| OFI Crete win | 7% | 64% | 13% | 78% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş