OFI Crete vs Leverkusen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Leverkusen8th, 3 pts
13%OFI Crete win
19%Draw
67%Leverkusen win
The model gives OFI Crete a 13% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Leverkusen 67%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 78%, a defeat to 42%. Leverkusen's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 96%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | Leverkusen: top 8 | Leverkusen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 49% | 75% | 99% |
| OFI Crete win | 13% | 78% | 51% | 96% |
| Draw | 4% | 55% | 65% | 98% |
| Leverkusen win | 2% | 42% | 82% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon