Hapoel Beer-Sheva vs OFI Crete: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
Hapoel Beer-Sheva18th, 1 pts
–Matchday 4
OFI Crete9th, 3 pts
48%Hapoel Beer-Sheva win
25%Draw
26%OFI Crete win
The model gives Hapoel Beer-Sheva a 48% chance of winning, a draw 25% and OFI Crete 26%. Hapoel Beer-Sheva's chance of going through is 27% now: a win would take it to 40%, a defeat to 11%. OFI Crete's chance of going through is 49% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 34%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva: top 8 | Hapoel Beer-Sheva: through | OFI Crete: top 8 | OFI Crete: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 27% | 4% | 49% |
| Hapoel Beer-Sheva win | 2% | 40% | 1% | 34% |
| Draw | 1% | 19% | 3% | 49% |
| OFI Crete win | <1% | 11% | 10% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
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