What does Sturm Graz need to go through in the Europa League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 2, Sturm Graz are 26th with 1 point. Next match: 22 October, at home against Marseille. In our simulations Sturm Graz go through (24th place or better) in 46% of cases and make the top 8 in 1%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Celje (matchday 4) and OFI Crete (matchday 7): each result moves the chances by about 39 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 28th, average 24.5.
Sturm Graz matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00Win 31%, draw 26%, defeat 42%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 65%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 46%Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw46%If they lose32%
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Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%Chance of going through:If they win61%If they draw35%If they lose22%
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Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 56%Chance of going through:If they win73%If they draw49%If they lose35%
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Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 56%Chance of going through:If they win74%If they draw49%If they lose36%
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Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45Win 51%, draw 25%, defeat 24%Chance of going through:If they win62%If they draw36%If they lose24%
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Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00Win 27%, draw 25%, defeat 48%Chance of going through:If they win71%If they draw47%If they lose33%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Sturm Graz collect in the league phase.
Where could Sturm Graz finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Europa League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Juventus6100%
- 2Leverkusen6>99%
- 3Benfica6100%
- 4Beşiktaş698%
- 5Bournemouth6>99%
- 6Omonia682%
- 7Ferencváros697%
- 8Lyon699%
- 9Sunderland699%
- 10Olympiacos699%
- 11Sparta Praha480%
- 12Union SG496%
- 13Rennes491%
- 14GNK Dinamo476%
- 15Crystal Palace393%
- 16Milan399%
- 17Jagiellonia359%
- 18OFI Crete352%
- 19Torreense356%
- 20AZ Alkmaar386%
- 21Salzburg384%
- 22Real Sociedad172%
- 23Lillestrøm118%
- 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
- 25Levski Sofia124%
- 26Sturm Graz146%
- 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
- 28Anderlecht038%
- 29Celta054%
- 30Hoffenheim047%
- 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
- 32Marseille068%
- 33Celtic038%
- 34Ararat-Armenia06%
- 35Celje019%
- 36Lech Poznań019%
How the league phase works
The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Sturm Graz's chances of going through in the Europa League?
Across 30,000 simulations Sturm Graz go through (24th place or better) in 46% of cases and reach the top 8 in 1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Sturm Graz need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Sturm Graz's next match?
22 October, at home against Marseille on matchday 3 of the Europa League.
Which match matters most for Sturm Graz?
The matchday 4 game at home against Celje. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 39 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.