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Bournemouth 3–0 Sturm Graz

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

Bournemouth5th, 6 pts
3–0Final score
Sturm Graz26th, 1 pt

Bournemouth beat Sturm Graz 3–0 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Bournemouth are 5th with 6 points, with a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 70%). Sturm Graz are now 26th with 1 point, with a 46% chance of going through (top 8: 1%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.

62%Bournemouth win
21%Draw
16%Sturm Graz win

The outcome the model rated most likely (62%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance. Expected goals before the match: Bournemouth 1.9, Sturm Graz 0.9.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Bournemouth12th → 5th98% → >99%61% → 70%
Sturm Graz20th → 26th54% → 46%5% → 1%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Bournemouth

6 points from 2 matches, goal difference +4

  1. MD1WReal Sociedad A2–1
  2. MD2WSturm Graz H this match3–0
  3. MD3Milan H22 October
  4. MD4Sparta Praha A5 November
  5. MD5Celta A26 November
  6. MD6Viktoria Plzeň H10 December
  7. MD7Lillestrøm A21 January
  8. MD8Hapoel Beer-Sheva H28 January

Sturm Graz

1 point from 2 matches, goal difference -3

  1. MD1DRennes H0–0
  2. MD2LBournemouth A this match0–3
  3. MD3Marseille H22 October
  4. MD4Celje H5 November
  5. MD5Hoffenheim A26 November
  6. MD6AZ Alkmaar A10 December
  7. MD7OFI Crete H21 January
  8. MD8GNK Dinamo A28 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?

The match finished 3–0 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Was Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Bournemouth a 62% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Sturm Graz 16%. The outcome the model rated most likely (62%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance.

How did the result change Bournemouth's chances?

Before matchday 2, Bournemouth had a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 61%). Now it is >99% (top 8: 70%).

How did the result change Sturm Graz's chances?

Before matchday 2, Sturm Graz had a 54% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Now it is 46% (top 8: 1%).

When was Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz played?

Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 2 fixtures

Full matchday 2: what every team needs →