Rennes vs Olympiacos: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
Rennes17th, 1 pts
–Matchday 4
Olympiacos13th, 3 pts
41%Rennes win
26%Draw
33%Olympiacos win
The model gives Rennes a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Olympiacos 33%. Rennes's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 71%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 84%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Rennes: top 8 | Rennes: through | Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23% | 83% | 36% | 91% |
| Rennes win | 37% | 94% | 22% | 84% |
| Draw | 17% | 82% | 34% | 92% |
| Olympiacos win | 9% | 71% | 56% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Milan – Ferencváros
- Sparta Praha – Bournemouth
- Crystal Palace – Hoffenheim
- Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Omonia
- Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia
- Real Sociedad – Lyon
- Anderlecht – Salzburg
- AZ Alkmaar – Juventus
- Leverkusen – Marseille
- Celtic – Beşiktaş
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete
- Celta – Union SG
- Torreense – Ararat-Armenia
- Sturm Graz – Celje
- Benfica – Lech Poznań
- Sunderland – GNK Dinamo