Celje vs Olympiacos: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Celje31st, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
Olympiacos13th, 3 pts
23%Celje win
25%Draw
52%Olympiacos win
The model gives Celje a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Olympiacos 52%. Celje's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 29%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 79%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Celje: top 8 | Celje: through | Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 40% | 36% | 91% |
| Celje win | 8% | 63% | 19% | 79% |
| Draw | 2% | 40% | 27% | 88% |
| Olympiacos win | 1% | 29% | 49% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete