Olympiacos 2–1 Jagiellonia
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
Olympiacos beat Jagiellonia 2–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Olympiacos are 10th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 57%). Jagiellonia are now 17th with 3 points, with a 59% chance of going through (top 8: 4%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (64%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: Olympiacos 2.0, Jagiellonia 0.8.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos | 85% → 99% | 30% → 57% |
| Jagiellonia | 47% → 59% | 5% → 4% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Olympiacos
- MD1WJagiellonia H this match2–1
- MD2WMarseille A1–0
- MD3Sparta Praha H22 October
- MD4Rennes A5 November
- MD5Milan H26 November
- MD6Celje A10 December
- MD7Hoffenheim H21 January
- MD8Torreense A28 January
Jagiellonia
- MD1LOlympiacos A this match1–2
- MD2WArarat-Armenia H3–1
- MD3Anderlecht H22 October
- MD4Levski Sofia A5 November
- MD5Sunderland A26 November
- MD6Crystal Palace H10 December
- MD7Lyon H21 January
- MD8Viktoria Plzeň A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia?
The match finished 2–1 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Olympiacos a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Jagiellonia 15%. The outcome the model rated most likely (64%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change Olympiacos's chances?
Before matchday 1, Olympiacos had a 85% chance of going through (top 8: 30%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 57%).
How did the result change Jagiellonia's chances?
Before matchday 1, Jagiellonia had a 47% chance of going through (top 8: 5%). Now it is 59% (top 8: 4%).
When was Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia played?
Wednesday 16 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Beşiktaş – Marseille (4–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)