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Europa League matchday 4: what every team needs

← Europa League: full table and chances

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Europa League matchday 4 is played on 5 November across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Omonia: a win would lift their chances of going through to 76%, a defeat would drop them to 36%.

Matchday 4 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Anderlecht – Salzburg 37% · 26% · 37%
  2. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Crystal Palace – Hoffenheim 51% · 25% · 24%
  3. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia 39% · 26% · 34%
  4. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň 31% · 26% · 42%
  5. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Milan – Ferencváros 65% · 20% · 15%
  6. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 N.E.C. Nijmegen – Omonia 51% · 25% · 24%
  7. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Real Sociedad – Lyon 39% · 26% · 35%
  8. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Rennes – Olympiacos 41% · 26% · 33%
  9. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Sparta Praha – Bournemouth 33% · 26% · 40%
  10. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 AZ Alkmaar – Juventus 25% · 25% · 50%
  11. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Benfica – Lech Poznań 74% · 17% · 10%
  12. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Celta – Union SG 40% · 26% · 33%
  13. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Celtic – Beşiktaş 38% · 26% · 36%
  14. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Hapoel Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete 46% · 26% · 28%
  15. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Leverkusen – Marseille 56% · 24% · 21%
  16. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Sturm Graz – Celje 53% · 24% · 23%
  17. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Sunderland – GNK Dinamo 52% · 25% · 23%
  18. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Torreense – Ararat-Armenia 56% · 24% · 21%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
OmoniaN.E.C. Nijmegen – Omonia49%76%36%
OFI CreteHapoel Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete56%80%41%
TorreenseTorreense – Ararat-Armenia65%79%41%
Sturm GrazSturm Graz – Celje53%67%30%
Viktoria PlzeňLillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň45%63%26%

Frequently asked questions

When is Europa League matchday 4 played?

On 5 November, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 4?

Omonia. A win lifts their chances of going through to 76%, a defeat drops them to 36% — a swing of about 40 percentage points.

What does the table look like before matchday 4?

Juventus lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Europa League page.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 15 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays