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What does Olympiacos need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, Olympiacos are 10th with 6 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Sparta Praha. In our simulations Olympiacos go through (24th place or better) in 99% of cases and make the top 8 in 57%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain.

10thleague position
6points from 2 matches
99%chance of going through (top 24)
57%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 5th, average 8.5.

Olympiacos matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
    HomeJagiellonia2–1
    Win 65%, draw 20%, defeat 14%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    AwayMarseille1–0
    Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00
    HomeSparta Praha –
    Win 53%, draw 24%, defeat 23%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose96%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    AwayRennes –
    Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 40%
    Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw99%If they lose98%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45
    HomeMilan –
    Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 41%
    Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw99%If they lose98%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    AwayCelje –
    Win 57%, draw 23%, defeat 20%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose96%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45
    HomeHoffenheim –
    Win 50%, draw 25%, defeat 25%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose97%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwayTorreense –
    Win 56%, draw 23%, defeat 20%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose96%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Olympiacos collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
4unlikely
5unlikely
6unlikely
70%
817%
967%
1097%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20100%
21100%
22100%
23unlikely
24100%
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Olympiacos finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Olympiacos's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations Olympiacos go through (24th place or better) in 99% of cases and reach the top 8 in 57%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Olympiacos need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Olympiacos's next match?

22 October, at home against Sparta Praha on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for Olympiacos?

The matchday 6 game away against Celje. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 4 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.