N.E.C. Nijmegen vs Omonia: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
–Matchday 4
Omonia15th, 3 pts
54%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
24%Draw
22%Omonia win
The model gives N.E.C. Nijmegen a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Omonia 22%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 76%, a defeat to 40%. Omonia's chance of going through is 46% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 34%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 63% | 4% | 46% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 14% | 76% | 1% | 34% |
| Draw | 4% | 53% | 3% | 47% |
| Omonia win | 2% | 40% | 9% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Milan – Ferencváros
- Sparta Praha – Bournemouth
- Crystal Palace – Hoffenheim
- Lillestrøm – Viktoria Plzeň
- Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia
- Real Sociedad – Lyon
- Anderlecht – Salzburg
- Rennes – Olympiacos
- AZ Alkmaar – Juventus
- Leverkusen – Marseille
- Celtic – Beşiktaş
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – OFI Crete
- Celta – Union SG
- Torreense – Ararat-Armenia
- Sturm Graz – Celje
- Benfica – Lech Poznań
- Sunderland – GNK Dinamo