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Marseille 0–1 Olympiacos

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

Marseille32nd, 0 pts
0–1Final score
Olympiacos10th, 6 pts

Olympiacos won 1–0 away at Marseille on matchday 2. After the match, Marseille are 32nd with 0 points, with a 68% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Olympiacos are now 10th with 6 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 57%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.

47%Marseille win
26%Draw
28%Olympiacos win

Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 28%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 8% chance. Expected goals before the match: Marseille 1.5, Olympiacos 1.1.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Marseille32nd → 32nd80% → 68%18% → 4%
Olympiacos13th → 10th92% → 99%37% → 57%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Marseille

0 points from 2 matches, goal difference -4

  1. MD1LBeşiktaş A1–4
  2. MD2LOlympiacos H this match0–1
  3. MD3Sturm Graz A22 October
  4. MD4Leverkusen A5 November
  5. MD5Levski Sofia H26 November
  6. MD6Celta H10 December
  7. MD7Celtic A21 January
  8. MD8Anderlecht H28 January

Olympiacos

6 points from 2 matches, goal difference +2

  1. MD1WJagiellonia H2–1
  2. MD2WMarseille A this match1–0
  3. MD3Sparta Praha H22 October
  4. MD4Rennes A5 November
  5. MD5Milan H26 November
  6. MD6Celje A10 December
  7. MD7Hoffenheim H21 January
  8. MD8Torreense A28 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Marseille vs Olympiacos?

The match finished 0–1 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Was Marseille vs Olympiacos a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Marseille a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Olympiacos 28%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 28%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 8% chance.

How did the result change Marseille's chances?

Before matchday 2, Marseille had a 80% chance of going through (top 8: 18%). Now it is 68% (top 8: 4%).

How did the result change Olympiacos's chances?

Before matchday 2, Olympiacos had a 92% chance of going through (top 8: 37%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 57%).

When was Marseille vs Olympiacos played?

Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 2 fixtures

Full matchday 2: what every team needs →