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What does Rennes need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, Rennes are 13th with 4 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Juventus. In our simulations Rennes go through (24th place or better) in 91% of cases and make the top 8 in 21%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Omonia (matchday 7) and GNK Dinamo (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 20 percentage points.

13thleague position
4points from 2 matches
91%chance of going through (top 24)
21%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 11th, average 14.5.

Rennes matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
    AwaySturm Graz0–0
    Win 42%, draw 26%, defeat 31%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    HomeOFI Crete2–1
    Win 64%, draw 21%, defeat 15%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    AwayJuventus –
    Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 64%
    Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw94%If they lose88%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeOlympiacos –
    Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 34%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw90%If they lose83%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw91%If they lose82%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    HomeGNK Dinamo –
    Win 54%, draw 24%, defeat 22%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw88%If they lose79%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00
    HomeOmonia –
    Win 60%, draw 22%, defeat 17%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw86%If they lose77%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwaySparta Praha –
    Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 39%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw92%If they lose84%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Rennes collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
4unlikely
50%
60%
72%
821%
976%
1099%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20100%
21unlikely
22100%
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Rennes finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Rennes's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations Rennes go through (24th place or better) in 91% of cases and reach the top 8 in 21%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Rennes need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Rennes's next match?

22 October, away against Juventus on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for Rennes?

The matchday 7 game at home against Omonia. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 20 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.