Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
Olympiacos13th, 3 pts
–Matchday 3
Sparta Praha3rd, 3 pts
53%Olympiacos win
24%Draw
23%Sparta Praha win
The model gives Olympiacos a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Sparta Praha 23%. Olympiacos's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 79%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Olympiacos: top 8 | Olympiacos: through | Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 91% | 23% | 83% |
| Olympiacos win | 49% | 97% | 14% | 76% |
| Draw | 27% | 88% | 23% | 86% |
| Sparta Praha win | 17% | 79% | 44% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
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- Ferencváros – Torreense
- GNK Dinamo – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon