Ararat-Armenia vs N.E.C. Nijmegen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Ararat-Armenia33rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 6
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
25%Ararat-Armenia win
25%Draw
51%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 25% chance of winning, a draw 25% and N.E.C. Nijmegen 51%. Ararat-Armenia's chance of going through is 10% now: a win would take it to 24%, a defeat to 5%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 77%, a defeat to 41%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ararat-Armenia: top 8 | Ararat-Armenia: through | N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 10% | 9% | 63% |
| Ararat-Armenia win | 1% | 24% | 2% | 41% |
| Draw | <1% | 9% | 5% | 55% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | <1% | 5% | 14% | 77% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
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- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
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- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
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