GNK Dinamo vs N.E.C. Nijmegen: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
GNK Dinamo19th, 1 pts
–Matchday 3
N.E.C. Nijmegen36th, 0 pts
44%GNK Dinamo win
26%Draw
30%N.E.C. Nijmegen win
The model gives GNK Dinamo a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and N.E.C. Nijmegen 30%. GNK Dinamo's chance of going through is 54% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 34%. N.E.C. Nijmegen's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 49%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| GNK Dinamo: top 8 | GNK Dinamo: through | N.E.C. Nijmegen: top 8 | N.E.C. Nijmegen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 54% | 9% | 63% |
| GNK Dinamo win | 10% | 71% | 3% | 49% |
| Draw | 4% | 48% | 7% | 63% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 2% | 34% | 19% | 82% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – AZ Alkmaar
- Ferencváros – Torreense
- Juventus – Rennes
- Lech Poznań – Sunderland
- OFI Crete – Leverkusen
- Union SG – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Sturm Graz – Marseille
- Bournemouth – Milan
- Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace
- Celtic – Celta
- Viktoria Plzeň – Levski Sofia
- Jagiellonia – Anderlecht
- Lillestrøm – Real Sociedad
- Celje – Salzburg
- Olympiacos – Sparta Praha
- Omonia – Benfica
- Hoffenheim – Lyon