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What does N.E.C. Nijmegen need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, N.E.C. Nijmegen are 36th with 0 points. Next match: 15 October, at home against Levski Sofia. In our simulations N.E.C. Nijmegen go through (24th place or better) in 63% of cases and make the top 8 in 9%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 11 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Omonia (matchday 4) and Ararat-Armenia (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 36 percentage points.

36thleague position
0point from 1 match
63%chance of going through (top 24)
9%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 23rd, average 20.9.

N.E.C. Nijmegen matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00
    AwayJuventus0–5
    Win 11%, draw 17%, defeat 72%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    HomeLevski Sofia –
    Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%
    Chance of going through:If they win75%If they draw53%If they lose40%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    AwayGNK Dinamo –
    Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%
    Chance of going through:If they win82%If they draw63%If they lose49%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeOmonia –
    Win 54%, draw 24%, defeat 22%
    Chance of going through:If they win76%If they draw53%If they lose40%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeRennes –
    Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 39%
    Chance of going through:If they win81%If they draw61%If they lose48%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    AwayArarat-Armenia –
    Win 51%, draw 25%, defeat 25%
    Chance of going through:If they win77%If they draw55%If they lose41%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45
    HomeBenfica –
    Win 23%, draw 25%, defeat 52%
    Chance of going through:If they win83%If they draw63%If they lose53%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwayCelje –
    Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 34%
    Chance of going through:If they win80%If they draw59%If they lose45%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points N.E.C. Nijmegen collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
83%
936%
1088%
11>99%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20unlikely
21100%
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could N.E.C. Nijmegen finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus399%
  2. 2Crystal Palace394%
  3. 3Sparta Praha383%
  4. 4Beşiktaş385%
  5. 5Union SG392%
  6. 6Ferencváros383%
  7. 7Benfica399%
  8. 8Leverkusen399%
  9. 9OFI Crete349%
  10. 10Lyon394%
  11. 11Torreense360%
  12. 12Bournemouth397%
  13. 13Olympiacos391%
  14. 14Salzburg388%
  15. 15Omonia346%
  16. 16Sunderland393%
  17. 17Rennes183%
  18. 18Hapoel Beer-Sheva127%
  19. 19GNK Dinamo154%
  20. 20Sturm Graz152%
  21. 21Jagiellonia041%
  22. 22Real Sociedad071%
  23. 23Anderlecht050%
  24. 24Lillestrøm015%
  25. 25AZ Alkmaar075%
  26. 26Celta064%
  27. 27Levski Sofia021%
  28. 28Celtic052%
  29. 29Hoffenheim071%
  30. 30Milan095%
  31. 31Celje040%
  32. 32Marseille082%
  33. 33Ararat-Armenia010%
  34. 34Viktoria Plzeň049%
  35. 35Lech Poznań033%
  36. 36N.E.C. Nijmegen063%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Europa League teams