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What does N.E.C. Nijmegen need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, N.E.C. Nijmegen are 27th with 1 point. Next match: 22 October, away against GNK Dinamo. In our simulations N.E.C. Nijmegen go through (24th place or better) in 53% of cases and make the top 8 in 2%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Celje (matchday 8) and Omonia (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 41 percentage points.

27thleague position
1points from 2 matches
53%chance of going through (top 24)
2%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 26th, average 23.2.

N.E.C. Nijmegen matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00
    AwayJuventus0–5
    Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 75%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    HomeLevski Sofia1–1
    Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    AwayGNK Dinamo –
    Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 46%
    Chance of going through:If they win77%If they draw53%If they lose39%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeOmonia –
    Win 49%, draw 25%, defeat 26%
    Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw44%If they lose32%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeRennes –
    Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%
    Chance of going through:If they win75%If they draw50%If they lose38%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    AwayArarat-Armenia –
    Win 52%, draw 25%, defeat 23%
    Chance of going through:If they win68%If they draw44%If they lose30%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45
    HomeBenfica –
    Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 56%
    Chance of going through:If they win78%If they draw57%If they lose43%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwayCelje –
    Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 32%
    Chance of going through:If they win74%If they draw47%If they lose33%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points N.E.C. Nijmegen collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
89%
960%
1096%
11>99%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18unlikely
19100%
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could N.E.C. Nijmegen finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are N.E.C. Nijmegen's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations N.E.C. Nijmegen go through (24th place or better) in 53% of cases and reach the top 8 in 2%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do N.E.C. Nijmegen need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is N.E.C. Nijmegen's next match?

22 October, away against GNK Dinamo on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for N.E.C. Nijmegen?

The matchday 8 game away against Celje. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 41 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.