Benfica 4–1 Celtic
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Benfica beat Celtic 4–1 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Benfica are 3rd with 6 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 91%). Celtic are now 33rd with 0 points, with a 38% chance of going through (top 8: 1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (66%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance. Expected goals before the match: Benfica 2.0, Celtic 0.8.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 7th → 3rd | >99% → 100% | 86% → 91% |
| Celtic | 28th → 33rd | 47% → 38% | 4% → 1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Benfica
- MD1WMilan A2–0
- MD2WCeltic H this match4–1
- MD3Omonia A22 October
- MD4Lech Poznań H5 November
- MD5Viktoria Plzeň A26 November
- MD6OFI Crete H10 December
- MD7N.E.C. Nijmegen A21 January
- MD8AZ Alkmaar H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benfica vs Celtic?
The match finished 4–1 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Was Benfica vs Celtic a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Benfica a 66% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Celtic 14%. The outcome the model rated most likely (66%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the actual score had a 3% chance.
How did the result change Benfica's chances?
Before matchday 2, Benfica had a >99% chance of going through (top 8: 86%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 91%).
How did the result change Celtic's chances?
Before matchday 2, Celtic had a 47% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 38% (top 8: 1%).
When was Benfica vs Celtic played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm (1–1)
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva (2–1)
- Salzburg – Milan (0–4)
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen (0–4)
- Celje – Omonia (0–3)
- Lyon – Crystal Palace (3–2)
- Union SG – Real Sociedad (1–1)
- Torreense – Sunderland (1–2)
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz (3–0)
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň (2–1)
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht (1–0)
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia (3–1)
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia (1–1)
- Marseille – Olympiacos (0–1)
- Celta – Juventus (1–2)
- Rennes – OFI Crete (2–1)
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş (2–3)