Knockout Math
Live
EN

Juventus 5–0 N.E.C. Nijmegen

← Europa League: full table and chances

Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00

Juventus1st, 6 pts
5–0Final score
N.E.C. Nijmegen27th, 1 pt

Juventus beat N.E.C. Nijmegen 5–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Juventus are 1st with 6 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 89%). N.E.C. Nijmegen are now 27th with 1 point, with a 53% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.

72%Juventus win
17%Draw
11%N.E.C. Nijmegen win

The outcome the model rated most likely (72%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Juventus 2.3, N.E.C. Nijmegen 0.7.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamThrough (top 24)Top 8
Juventus98% → 100%73% → 89%
N.E.C. Nijmegen70% → 53%15% → 2%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Juventus

6 points from 2 matches, goal difference +6

  1. MD1WN.E.C. Nijmegen H this match5–0
  2. MD2WCelta A2–1
  3. MD3Rennes H22 October
  4. MD4AZ Alkmaar A5 November
  5. MD5Omonia H26 November
  6. MD6Hapoel Beer-Sheva A10 December
  7. MD7Ferencváros A21 January
  8. MD8Real Sociedad H28 January

N.E.C. Nijmegen

1 point from 2 matches, goal difference -5

  1. MD1LJuventus A this match0–5
  2. MD2DLevski Sofia H1–1
  3. MD3GNK Dinamo A22 October
  4. MD4Omonia H5 November
  5. MD5Rennes H26 November
  6. MD6Ararat-Armenia A10 December
  7. MD7Benfica H21 January
  8. MD8Celje A28 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Juventus vs N.E.C. Nijmegen?

The match finished 5–0 (Europa League, matchday 1).

Was Juventus vs N.E.C. Nijmegen a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Juventus a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and N.E.C. Nijmegen 11%. The outcome the model rated most likely (72%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 2% chance.

How did the result change Juventus's chances?

Before matchday 1, Juventus had a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 73%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 89%).

How did the result change N.E.C. Nijmegen's chances?

Before matchday 1, N.E.C. Nijmegen had a 70% chance of going through (top 8: 15%). Now it is 53% (top 8: 2%).

When was Juventus vs N.E.C. Nijmegen played?

Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 1 fixtures

Full matchday 1: what every team needs →