Omonia vs Celtic: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
The model gives Omonia a 36% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Celtic 37%. Omonia's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 67%. Celtic's chance of going through is 38% now: a win would take it to 59%, a defeat to 21%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | Omonia: top 8 | Omonia: through | Celtic: top 8 | Celtic: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9% | 82% | 1% | 38% |
| Omonia win | 17% | 98% | <1% | 21% |
| Draw | 6% | 81% | <1% | 32% |
| Celtic win | 3% | 67% | 3% | 59% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Omonia vs Celtic?
The model gives Omonia a 36% chance of winning and Celtic 37%, with a draw at 26%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Omonia vs Celtic?
The model gives both teams scoring a 53% chance. Expected goals are 1.3 for Omonia and 1.3 for Celtic, and the match has 3 or more goals in 48% of cases.
What does this match mean for Omonia?
Omonia's qualification chance is 82% right now. A win would make it 98%, a draw 81% and a defeat 67%.
What does this match mean for Celtic?
Celtic's qualification chance is 38% right now. A win would make it 59%, a draw 32% and a defeat 21%.
When is Omonia vs Celtic played?
Thursday 10 December, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 6).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete