Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Leverkusen8th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Beşiktaş4th, 3 pts
64%Leverkusen win
21%Draw
15%Beşiktaş win
The model gives Leverkusen a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Beşiktaş 15%. Leverkusen's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 96%. Beşiktaş's chance of going through is 85% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 81%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Leverkusen: top 8 | Leverkusen: through | Beşiktaş: top 8 | Beşiktaş: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 75% | 99% | 25% | 85% |
| Leverkusen win | 84% | >99% | 18% | 81% |
| Draw | 66% | 98% | 29% | 89% |
| Beşiktaş win | 51% | 96% | 50% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Salzburg – Sparta Praha
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete