Salzburg vs Sparta Praha: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Salzburg14th, 3 pts
–Matchday 6
Sparta Praha3rd, 3 pts
47%Salzburg win
26%Draw
28%Sparta Praha win
The model gives Salzburg a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sparta Praha 28%. Salzburg's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 77%. Sparta Praha's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 75%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Salzburg: top 8 | Salzburg: through | Sparta Praha: top 8 | Sparta Praha: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 29% | 88% | 23% | 83% |
| Salzburg win | 43% | 96% | 13% | 75% |
| Draw | 21% | 86% | 21% | 85% |
| Sparta Praha win | 13% | 77% | 42% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- AZ Alkmaar – Sturm Graz
- Ararat-Armenia – N.E.C. Nijmegen
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – Juventus
- Jagiellonia – Crystal Palace
- Marseille – Celta
- Omonia – Celtic
- Anderlecht – Hoffenheim
- Rennes – GNK Dinamo
- Milan – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Viktoria Plzeň
- Leverkusen – Beşiktaş
- Lech Poznań – Ferencváros
- Celje – Olympiacos
- Lyon – Union SG
- Levski Sofia – Lillestrøm
- Real Sociedad – Torreense
- Benfica – OFI Crete